The Year 2000 belonged to the lawyers and to the stock
market. The first fought it out in the courts over trail breaking cases, like
the Microsoft antitrust case and the Napster copyright infringement case, which
may redefine the way IT business is done, while the latter took technology
companies on a roller coaster ride, taking them first up and then dropping them
mercilessly at an even faster pace.
The dotcoms, which for some strange reason are considered to
be part of and even better than the IT fraternity, started the year on a high
note, but by now, when the year is drawing to a close, many of them have already
folded up, with most others waging a desperate battle for survival. The dotcom
philosophy of seemingly unending investments without any immediate plans for
profits was touted as the mantra of a new economy for some time, before the
market gave way to the need to be profitable. The first of the big names, and
perhaps the most famous case to go belly up, was Boo.com, a Web-based up-market
fashion retailer. When the story became known, it came to light that Boo had
spent millions of dollars in advertising and other business expenses with hardly
any sales to show.
The path that the dotcoms took, of depending on venture
funding and not internal accruals for every business expense, including working
capital, is what ultimately led to the tight situation that the entire sector is
in. With no cash flows of their own, they were dependant on round after round of
venture funding for their very existence. Initially, venture capitalists were
too willing to pump in the money without bothering too much about the
sustainability of the business. But after a few Web businesses went belly up,
they began asking questions, and to cut a long story short, funding dried up.
Simultaneously, the stock market also went on a downswing, possibly for the same
reasons, and the squeeze for those who depended on the value of their stock and
nothing else became really hard. Nobody is yet questioning the utility of the
Web as a way to reach customers. But there are serious questions being raised on
the very survival of a Web-only business.
So,
in all this frenzy who made money? Two types of businesses made money during the
height of the dotcom frenzy. And one of these two was a business that the Web
was expected to kill off—print media, including newspapers and magazines. The
dotcoms had to resort to large doses of print advertising to drive up their
valuations with the venture capitalists. The second were those who provided
services to the dotcoms—those who developed the Websites, or provided the
software and hardware for them. Even the stock market did, to some extent,
reflect this reality.
Another group of companies that had a rough time this year
were the Linux companies. Last year, many companies providing products and
services around Linux had gone to the stock markets and raised money. This year
saw their stock prices tumbling down, as most couldn’t produce a positive
bottom line. About the only exception was Red Hat, which was able to produce a
better financial performance than both.
In the following section, we’ll look at some of the
familiar international names and see what the year ahead could have in store for
them. This is not an exhaustive list, but just a top-of-the-mind selection. Microsoft
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