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Market Trends India

Whether it’s PC shipments, Internet usage, or the server market, the IT industry seems poised for impressive growth ahead


Wednesday, November 29, 2000

Let me begin with a poser—what does Indian IT mean to you?

Chances are that you’ve already started thinking about our successes in the software exports arena. Amid all the applause for Indian software exporters, achievements in the domestic market tend to get sidelined. Agreed that software and services exports from the country have been growing at an enviable pace, but the domestic IT market can also boast of impressive facts and figures. Consider this. India is one of the fastest growing IT markets in the world, the fastest growing PC market in the Asia-Pacific region, and also the country with the fastest growth in Internet usage in this region.

It was in the last fiscal (1999-00) that domestic IT spending bounced back after three years of slowdown. And what a revival it was. A 12 percentage-point improvement in annual growth rate is no mean achievement, after all. IDC believes that there is tremendous momentum in the domestic IT market today, which will help the industry tide over the minor slowdown being predicted for the economy in the current fiscal. Over the next five years, the domestic IT industry is predicted to grow at a CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) of 28 percent, which is among the highest in the world.

Personal Computers

What drives the Indian IT market? As is the case with most nations in the early stages of the IT maturity curve, the Indian market is primarily hardware driven. The hardware sector currently accounts for around 56 percent of total IT spending and is growing faster than other sectors of this industry. Looking at the frenzy in the PCs marketplace, it’s fairly obvious that PCs are fueling growth in the hardware market.

PC shipments crossed the million mark in the last fiscal and are likely to shoot beyond two million in the next. That makes India the fastest growing PC market in the Asia Pacific region. If the Indian market continues to grow at this pace, which it certainly will, we’re slated to become the second largest PC market in the region by 2003.

Perhaps the single largest contributor to this impressive growth is the burgeoning home segment. Today, more than a third of all PCs shipped in a year make their way to the home segment; and the way things are moving, this share will only improve in future. This obviously means that no vendor can afford to neglect this segment. The winners of the future will be the ones who have in place a focused consumer strategy to address the home segment.

IDC’s "Millennium Home" study reveals that the most important reasons for purchasing a home PC revolve around enhancing the family’s computer skills. In an era where people have realized the importance of being IT literate, this finding springs no major surprises. Another important finding is that while the chief wage earner of a household is the primary decision-maker insofar as PC purchase is concerned, family and friends play an important role in influencing the decision. The survey also reveals that the average home PC user is around 28 years old—however, IDC believes that as computer education in schools becomes more widespread and more children start using PCs at home, the average home PC user of the future might be younger.


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